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Supercomputer predicts Manchester United’s final Premier League finish after Chelsea win

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Man United are locked in a competitive battle to secure Champions League qualification for next season.

Manchester United have been given a 5.2 per cent chance of clinching fourth place in the Premier League this season as the race for European football intensifies.

After an action-packed midweek, just six points now separate Manchester City in third and West Ham United in ninth. The Reds are currently sixth in the table, just three points behind City, who were beaten 1-0 by Aston Villa on Wednesday night.

Though United’s start to the season has been underwhelming, their position remains both competitive and encouraging. A win against Bournemouth at Old Trafford on Saturday would move them level on points with City, who don’t play until Sunday this weekend.

Despite Erik ten Hag’s side winning four of their last five Premier League outings, however, data provided by statistical specialists Opta does not give them an overwhelmingly positive chance of finishing inside the top four and securing Champions League football for next season via that method. Their data claims they have just a 5.2 per chance of grabbing fourth.

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Furthermore, their data has given them a 1.3 per cent of clinching third, a 0.2 per cent chance of finishing in second and a 0.1 per cent chance of winning the title. United are nine points behind current leaders Arsenal.

According to Opta’s data, the position United are most likely to finish in is seventh – one place beneath their current position. They have given the Reds a 19.1 per cent chance of taking that spot, which would be four places lower than they finished last term.

United had ambitions of kicking-on this season after finishing third in Ten Hag’s debut campaign at the club last term. Following the end of the 2022/23 Premier League campaign, the Dutchman set a target of building on their achievement of taking third and challenging for second this time around.

Speaking at the club’s end-of-season awards ceremony in May, he said: “My hope is that we have to do better. We always have to do better.

“We have a foundation, we have a good base and we have to do better. We still have one game to go this season and it is a great opportunity to make a next step.

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“After that we then have the summer and we have to increase our standards to do even better. The competition is tough and our competitors also reach higher levels, so we have to do at least the same.

“But I don’t think it is good enough. We don’t want to stay here; we want to go higher up, we want to increase our levels and compete for the top two.

“We have to demand more and increase our levels.”

To paint an overall picture of Opta’s data, they have given United a stronger chance of finishing in 11th than third, claiming that an 11th-placed finish is four per cent possible. Percentage likelihoods significantly decrease from 12th downwards.

-MEN

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Kunle Solaja is the author of landmark books on sports and journalism as well as being a multiple award-winning journalist and editor of long standing. He is easily Nigeria’s foremost soccer diarist and Africa's most capped FIFA World Cup journalist, having attended all FIFA World Cup finals from Italia ’90 to Qatar 2022. He was honoured at the Qatar 2022 World Cup by FIFA and AIPS.

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Premier League

Salah uncertain about his future at Liverpool

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Liverpool's Egyptian striker #11 Mohamed Salah crosses the ball during the English Premier League football match between Manchester United and Liverpool at Old Trafford in Manchester, north west England. AFP

Egyptian publication, Ahram has published that Liverpool’s Egyptian winger, Mohamed Salah, expressed uncertainty about his future with the club on Sunday, citing the impending expiration of his contract at the end of this season.

The 32-year-old shone on Sunday as Liverpool delivered a stunning 3-0 victory over Manchester United at Old Trafford in a Premier League fixture.

Salah played a pivotal role in the win, assisting in the first two goals before finding the net for the third, bringing his goal tally to three in three games so far this season.

“I had a good summer and had a long time to myself to try to stay positive because as you know it’s my last year at the club, “Salah told Sky Sports after the game on Sunday.

“Nobody at the club has spoken to me yet about a new contract so. I just play this last season and then see at the end of the season.”

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When asked about the possibility of playing for Manchester United, Salah responded that it is premature to discuss such matters.

“So far, we don’t know with which club, but so far yeah my last game here with Liverpool. It’s not up to me but nobody talk to me about a contract with the club. We’ll see.”

The Egyptian winger joined Liverpool in the summer of 2017 from Italian side AS Roma.

He has made 352 appearances across all competitions for Liverpool, scoring 214 goals and providing 92 assists.

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Man Utd humbled as Diaz double helps Liverpool humiliate rivals

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Liverpool's Luis Diaz in action with Manchester United's Matthijs de Ligt REUTERS/Molly Darlington

Two goals from Luis Diaz and one from Mohamed Salah helped Liverpool stroll to a 3-0 victory at Manchester United in the Premier League on Sunday, with Erik ten Hag’s side humbled by their fierce rivals.

Liverpool dominated a United team who could not keep pace with them in the first half, the visitors taking the lead in the 35th minute through a back-post header from Diaz after United midfielder Casemiro had given the ball away.

Casemiro was again at fault for Diaz and Liverpool’s second, again supplied by Mohamed Salah, with the Colombia international sweeping home three minutes before the break, sending United supporters off for their halftime refreshments early.

With United on the ropes, Liverpool smelled blood after the break, Salah adding a third 11 minutes into the second half, but the visitors settled for three as they maintained their 100% record this season under new coach Arne Slot.

“The goals are always self-inflicted,” United captain Bruno Fernandes told Sky Sports. “You need to commit a mistake to give them the goal. We don’t need to be pointing fingers at everyone. that won’t help us now.

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“When you concede a goal you can’t just point at one mistake. We don’t have to look at the past. We just have to make it different. We lost the game, congratulations to Liverpool, they were more clinical. I don’t look at the stats but the game was tight.”

After a positive summer in the transfer market and fresh faces in the boardroom, last week’s last-gasp defeat at Brighton and Hove Albion gave United supporters a stark reminder of the improvements still needed on the pitch.

Sunday’s visit of a Liverpool side who had lost just one of their previous 12 Premier League meetings with United will have caused a great deal of concern pre-match.

Those more pessimistic fans were fearing the worst as Trent Alexander-Arnold appeared to have fired Liverpool into an early lead at Old Trafford, only for VAR to step in and save the hosts, adjudging Salah to be offside earlier in the move.

United settled into the contest without troubling Liverpool down the other end of the pitch, allowing the visitors to pick their moments when they came.

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Casemiro’s wayward pass ensured the Slot’s side did not have to try too hard to unlock their rivals, Diaz applying the finishing touch to get Liverpool up and running.

Diaz’s third of the season was another fine finish, but another Casemiro will want to forget. The flying Liverpool forward has now scored more Premier League goals against United than any other opponent.

Yet another mistake in midfield, this time from Kobbie Mainoo, was ruthlessly punished by Salah in the second half, the Egyptian cementing his pace as the highest-scoring opposition player at Old Trafford in Premier League history — seven strikes.

The visitors thereafter cruised to a victory that means Slot is the first Liverpool manager to win his first meeting with United since Bob Paisley in November 1975, and just the second to do so away from home after George Kay in November 1936.

“Everything what you want to see as a manager you saw in this game,” Slot said. “There were difficult moments for us, United started really well but then we have disallowed goal and there was no negative reaction, kept on playing, scoring three, could have scored more.

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“There were two important saves from our goalkeeper and the work rate was incredibly well without the ball and that makes it a very positive day.”

-Reuters

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Brighton end 10-man Arsenal’s winning start

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- Premier League - Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion - Emirates Stadium, London, Britain - August 31, 2024 Arsenal's David Raya in action with Brighton & Hove Albion's Carlos Baleba Action Images via Reuters/Peter Cziborra

Brighton and Hove Albion ended Arsenal’s winning start to the new Premier League season with a 1-1 draw at The Emirates on Saturday, with the home side holding on with 10 men after Declan Rice’s second-half sending off.

Arsenal dominated the first half and deservedly lead at half time after Kai Havertz finished brilliantly in the 38th minute, having been played in expertly by Bukayo Saka.

Four minutes into the second half, however, Arsenal’s task was made all the harder when Rice was sent off after picking up a second yellow card. Brazilian striker Joao Pedro fired Brighton level 12 minutes later.

Both sides missed golden chances to win the contest late on, but they each had to settle for a point that keeps Arsenal and Brighton unbeaten from their three games so far.

“We started the game really well,” Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta told TNT Sports. “We scored the goal, 1-0. We started the second half really good but then there is the decision that changes the game completely.

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“If it (second yellow card) happens throughout the game in a consistent way it is fine but it didn’t. It is the inconsistency.”

After narrowly missing out on their first Premier League title since 2004 last season, Arsenal started the new term in perfect fashion.

With champions Manchester City also coming into this weekend’s fixtures with two wins from two at the start of the new season, Arsenal know any slip-up, even this early in the campaign, could be costly.

They appeared set to be course for a ninth successive league victory after a dominant first-half display. Skipper Martin Odegaard should have scored earlier in the opening period before Havertz lofted home his second of the campaign.

Rice’s second yellow for trying to stop Brighton taking a quick free kick, a decision that was met with consternation around the stands, turned the tide in the visitors’ favour.

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Since Boxing Day 2019 – Mikel Arteta’s first game in charge of Arsenal – the Gunners have been shown 16 red cards in the Premier League, at least three more than any other side. But it was Rice’s first red in his 245th Premier League appearance.

Following his last-gasp winner against Manchester United last weekend, Pedro reacted first after Yankuba Minteh’s shot had been saved to pull Brighton level, and the game opened up thereafter.

Saka could have snatched the win late on, while Arsenal goalkeeper David Raya had to be at his best on several occasions to keep Brighton from earning all three points, but both seemed content with a draw after an exhilarating tussle.

“We didn’t create enough chances when they went down to 10 men, but we will go away and look at it,” Brighton captain Lewis Dunk said.

“We always believe we can win any game of football. We are in a good place and we know we can beat anybody.”

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-Reuters

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