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International Football

FIFA’S NOVEMBER RANKING TO RIDICLE NIGERIA’S HUMILATION OF ARGENTINA

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BY KUNLE SOLAJA.

 

A big surprise is in the offing when FIFA releases this month’s ranking next week Thursday.

Playing against and heavily defeating the fourth ranked football team in the world may not have significantly impacted on Nigeria’s FIFA ranking.

In the October ranking, Nigeria had 721 points and had since played two matches, drawing 1-1 away with Algeria and beating former World Cup holders, Argentina 4-2 earlier this week in Russia.

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Many would have expected Nigeria’s point-haul to rise and consequently lifting the country higher from the current 41st position, but the reverse appears to be case when the November ranking will be released on November 23.

Sports Village Square’ s check at the ranking prognosis shows that Nigeria has lost weight, dropping from 721 points to 671 despite not losing any match since the last ranking and also beating a far higher ranked Argentina.

The South Americans are currently fourth ranked in the world and have 1445 points.

Expectedly, the defeat by Nigeria on Tuesday affected Argentina’s point haul for November which fall slightly to 1348 when compared to the points their conquerors, the Super Eagles have lost.

Cameroon, currently ranked next to Nigeria at 42nd position will overtake the Super Eagles when the November rankings are released. Cameroon last weekend drew 2-2 with lower ranked Zambia but will have 696 points as against 671 that Nigeria will get.

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Most football analysts have often kicked against the FIFA ranking claiming that it is disproportional and does not often represent the relative strength of teams.

Owing to this, alternative rankings by football statisticians, such as that of World Football Elo Ratings and the rec.sport.soccer Statistics Foundation rankings, have emerged.

According to an Associated Press (AP) report in June 2006 when the US team was ranked fourth in the world in April 2006, even their players were shocked and felt flattered! That was even after they were beaten 4-1 by Germany.

The ranking started in December 1992 and had been subject of intense debate. On at least two instances, FIFA has had to adjust the yardsticks.

According to FIFA’s explanations, the basic logic of the “calculation is simple: any team that does well in world football wins points which enable it to climb the world ranking.

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“ A team’s total number of points over a four-year period is determined by adding the average number of points gained from matches during the past 12 months and the average number of points gained from matches older than 12 months (depreciates yearly)”.

Therefore, calculation for a single match is determined by four factors – result, importance of the match, strength of the opposing team in ranking and geographical location (confederation). On location, teams in confederations like UEFA and Conmebol enjoy higher rating on account that they are stronger.

So on account of these, the factors are brought together in the following formula to ascertain points per match:

P (point) =M (result) x I (importance of the match) x T (strength of opponent) x C (confederation).

So, “the number of points that can be won in a match depends on the following factors:

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  • Was the match won or drawn? (M)
  • How important was the match (ranging from a friendly match to a FIFA World Cup match)? (I) How strong was the opposing team in terms of ranking position and the confederation to which they belong? (T and C)

 

“These factors are brought together in the following formula to ascertain the total number of points (P):   P = M x I x T x C

 

“The following criteria apply to the calculation of points:

M: Points for match result

Teams gain 3 points for a victory, 1 point for a draw and 0 points for a defeat.

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‘In a penalty shoot-out, the winning team gains 2 points and the losing team gains 1 point.

I: Importance of match – “Friendly match (including small competitions): I = 1.0. FIFA World Cup qualifier or confederation-level qualifier: I = 2.5

“Confederation-level final competition or FIFA Confederations Cup: I = 3.0

FIFA World Cup final competition: I = 4.0

T: Strength of opposing team. The strength of the opponents is based on the formula: 200 – the ranking position of the opponents.

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“As an exception to this formula, the team at the top of the ranking is always assigned the value 200 and the teams ranked 150th and below are assigned a minimum value of 50.

“The ranking position is taken from the opponents’ ranking in the most recently published FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking.

C: Strength of confederation

“When calculating matches between teams from different confederations, the mean value of the confederations to which the two competing teams belong is used.

“The strength of a confederation is calculated on the basis of the number of victories by that confederation at the last three FIFA World Cup competitions   “Their values are as follows:

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  • CONMEBOL 1.00
  • UEFA 0.99
  • AFC/CAF/OFC/CONCACAF 0.85

 

Kunle Solaja is the author of landmark books on sports and journalism as well as being a multiple award-winning journalist and editor of long standing. He is easily Nigeria’s foremost soccer diarist and Africa's most capped FIFA World Cup journalist, having attended all FIFA World Cup finals from Italia ’90 to Qatar 2022. He was honoured at the Qatar 2022 World Cup by FIFA and AIPS.

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International Football

London favourite to host Spain v Argentina Finalissima after Doha doubts

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The original venue for the match,  Lusail Stadium, Lusail, Qatar 

Soccer chiefs from Europe and South America will hold a final meeting before a ​Thursday deadline to decide whether and where this month’s “Finalissima” between Spain and Argentina will be played, ‌with London emerging as the leading candidate after doubts over Doha, multiple sources told Reuters on Tuesday.

The match between European champions Spain and Copa America holders Argentina had been scheduled for March 27 at Lusail Stadium in Doha.

However, it has become increasingly unlikely that Qatar will host ​the fixture after the Qatar Football Association suspended soccer tournaments indefinitely following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran ​and retaliatory missiles fired at the Arabian Peninsula.

The Spanish FA (RFEF) has been pushing for a ⁠swift resolution, mindful that the March international break is viewed as vital preparation ahead of the June-July World Cup in ​North America.

“I know that negotiations are underway,” Spain coach Luis de la Fuente told Spanish Public Radio (RNE) on Monday. “The first ​thing, as a society, is to stop the conflict, but once you are immersed in it and you don’t know how long it will last, the solution would be, as long as you can’t play there, to find another venue as soon as possible.

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Wembley Stadium staged ​the previous edition in 2022, when Argentina beat Italy, but it is set to host England v Uruguay on March ​27. London, however, has other stadiums capable of staging the showpiece, leaving the English capital as the most likely alternative should Doha be ‌ruled ⁠out, sources confirmed.

ALTERNATIVE OPPONENTS CONSIDERED

While keen to face Argentina and high-profile players such as Lionel Messi, sources told Reuters that Spain had made clear their priority was not to waste the last window of international fixtures before the World Cup and they were already contemplating alternative opponents.

With Spain also due to face Egypt three days later, any change would require agreement ​between the RFEF and European soccer ​body UEFA, South American ⁠confederation CONMEBOL, global governing body FIFA and the Argentine FA (AFA).

The RFEF, AFA and UEFA did not immediately respond to Reuters requests for comment.

A spokesperson for South American confederation CONMEBOL told ​Reuters that several meetings between the parties had taken place in recent days but did ​not confirm Thursday’s ⁠deadline or London as the preferred venue.

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Madrid was initially proposed by the RFEF but rejected by the AFA, who preferred a neutral venue rather than giving Spain home advantage.

Morocco offered to stage the game, but the RFEF was unwilling to back their ⁠Mediterranean neighbours ​amid tensions behind the scenes over the 2030 World Cup, which Spain, ​Morocco and Portugal will co-host. Both Spain and Morocco are campaigning to stage the final.

Miami was also considered, with Messi based there at Inter Miami, ​but Hard Rock Stadium is hosting the Miami Open tennis tournament at the same time.

-Reuters

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International Football

Spain-Argentina ‘Finalissima’ in Qatar at risk amid US, Israel attacks on Iran

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The match between Spain and Argentina, tagged “Finalissima”  in Doha, is in doubt after the Qatar Football Association suspended soccer tournaments indefinitely following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran and retaliatory missiles fired at the Arabian Peninsula.

The contest between European Championship winners Spain and Copa America champions Argentina was scheduled for March 27 at Doha’s Lusail Stadium, with potential big-name draws including Lamine Yamal and Lionel Messi.

“Qatar Football Association announces the postponement of all tournaments, competitions and matches, effective from today and until further notice,” the association said in a statement on Sunday.

“The new dates for the resumption of competitions will be announced in due course through the Association’s official channels.”

The final call on whether to postpone the game rests with event organisers UEFA and CONMEBOL.

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The Bahrain Football Association postponed all its matches until further notice, while the Asian Football Confederation on Sunday announced it was delaying Champions League Elite fixtures in the region.

The Asian Champions League Two, currently at the quarter-final stage, has also been impacted, along with games in the Challenge League.

Countries across the Middle East have been on high alert since Saturday, when the U.S. and Israel launched air strikes against Iran, aimed at diminishing Iran’s military capability.

Iran retaliated by attacking U.S. targets around the region, including in the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

On Sunday, Qatar’s interior ministry reported a fire in an industrial zone after debris fell from an intercepted missile.

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International Football

Iran Conflict Casts Uncertainty Over Super Eagles’ Four-Nation Tournament Opener

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Smoke rises from a burning building hit by an Iranian drone strike, in Seef district, Manama, Bahrain, February 28, 2026. REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed

Nigeria’s Super Eagles may face fresh uncertainty ahead of their scheduled participation in a Four-Nation Invitational Tournament in Amman, Jordan, following reports that Iran — their intended first opponents — is now at war after attacks by the United States and Israel.

The Nigeria Football Federation (NFF) had earlier confirmed that the Super Eagles would compete in the mini-tournament during the FIFA Men’s International Window in March 2026. The competition is slated to run from March 27 to 31 in the Jordanian capital.

Under the original fixture schedule, Nigeria were due to open the tournament on Friday, March 27 against Iran’s senior national team at the 17,000-capacity Amman International Stadium. Hosts Jordan were set to face Costa Rica the same day at the 62,000-capacity King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.

However, the escalating military confrontation involving Iran has cast serious doubt over the participation of the Iranian national team and the viability of the opening fixture.

While tournament organisers in Jordan have yet to issue an official statement regarding possible changes, the developing security situation is expected to force urgent consultations between the participating federations, tournament organisers and FIFA.

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The competition was designed to provide competitive match exposure during a window initially reserved for the intercontinental play-off for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Nigeria’s inclusion in the tournament had already generated debate at home, with observers questioning whether the NFF’s commitment signalled a shift in focus away from potential qualification disputes.

The new geopolitical crisis further complicates matters. International conflicts often trigger travel restrictions, airspace closures and security advisories that can directly affect national teams’ ability to assemble and travel.

Should Iran withdraw or be unable to participate, organisers may be compelled to seek a replacement team or adjust the fixture format entirely.

Nigeria are scheduled to face hosts Jordan on March 31 in their second match of the tournament, while Costa Rica and Iran were originally billed to meet the same day at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.

Kick-off times for the four fixtures had yet to be officially announced before the outbreak of hostilities.

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For the Super Eagles, the tournament was seen as an opportunity to build cohesion and test tactical adjustments ahead of future competitive engagements. Now, attention will turn to whether the event can proceed as planned — and whether Nigeria’s opening match will require a late reshuffle.

The NFF is expected to monitor developments closely and may issue further clarification in the coming days as the regional and international situation evolves.

Meanwhile, Reuters has quoted a senior Israeli official as saying that Iran’s Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is dead. But the Iranians have dismissed the claim, saying that the leader is ‘firmly commanding the field’. Both Israel and the US launched strikes on Iran.

President Donald Trump says action will give Iranians a chance to topple their rulers. Hits were reported in Israel and Gulf states as Iran retaliated. The attack has triggered fear and panics as as Iranians flee cities.

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